Deportivo Recoletavs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Deportivo Recoleta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40