Deportivo Recoletavs
Rubio NU
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/16/2026, 10:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubio NU · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 Rubio NU
Original prediction
Rubio NU
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.1% | 35.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 26.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.4% | 38.8% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Rubio NU
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Rubio NU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20