Deportivo Recoletavs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 Olimpia
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.82 | 19.1% | 26.8% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.2% | 24.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 56.7% | 48.6% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80