Deportivo Recoletavs
Guairena FC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 9/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Recoleta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Recoleta 3-1 Guairena FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Recoleta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.0% | 47.5% | -19.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 18.5% | 25.0% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 6.23 | 14.4% | 27.5% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Recoleta
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Deportivo Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00