GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/6/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Pereira are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Valledupar hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo PereiraLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza ValleduparDLWWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo PereiraAlianza Valledupar
23.8Attack25.8
47.6Defence50.0
17.5Form27.3
32.6Power37.0
0.77xG0.75
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