Deportivo Pastovs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Pasto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
14.0%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20