GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo Pasto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

14.0%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo PastoWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeWLDDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo PastoSanta Fe
42.7Attack51.3
50.7Defence64.1
45.3Form50.0
48.8Power55.9
0.97xG1.41
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