Deportivo PastovsIndependiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Copa Colombia, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.