Deportivo Pastovs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/11/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Pasto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00