Copa ColombiaCopa Colombia
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Home
L
01
Full time
Bogota FC

Bogota FC

Away
W
Estadio Departamental Libertad
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Deportivo Pasto(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Deportivo Pasto
40%
Draw
25%
Bogota FC
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportivo Pasto
9
Bogota FC
34
Defence
Deportivo Pasto
27
Bogota FC
91
Momentum
Deportivo Pasto
0
Bogota FC
100
Danger (xG)
Deportivo Pasto
0.00
Bogota FC
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportivo Pasto)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Bogota FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Pasto)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Bogota FC)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
L
Bogota FCBogota FC
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Deportivo Pasto40%
Draw25%
Bogota FC35%

Deportivo Pasto leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Deportivo Pasto head into this in Copa Colombia fixture at Estadio Departamental Libertad in mixed form (L), while Bogota FC arrive in mixed form (W). Deportivo Pasto have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Bogota FC over 1 games.

The model rates Deportivo Pasto's attack at 9/100 against a 91/100 Bogota FC defence, and Bogota FC's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Deportivo Pasto backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Deportivo Pasto have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Bogota FC have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Deportivo Pasto and Bogota FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportivo Pasto to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Deportivo Pasto 4036%, Draw 2490%, Bogota FC 3474%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

L
vs Deportes Tolima
13 May 2026
02
Bogota FC

Bogota FC

W
vs Barranquilla
13 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportivo Pasto to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more