Deportivo Paraguayovs
Leandro N. Alem
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Paraguayo 0-0 Leandro N. Alem, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Paraguayo 4-1 Leandro N. Alem
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.0% | 37.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.7% | 32.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.2% | 30.3% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Paraguayo 0–0 Leandro N. Alem
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20