GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 8/12/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Estelí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Ocotal are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Real Estelí are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Primera Division, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Estelí

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo OcotalLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Real EstelíWWWW

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Deportivo OcotalReal Estelí
40.2Attack66.7
41.9Defence83.3
38.5Form83.3
42.2Power78.6
0.91xG1.96
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