GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Ocotal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Ocotal are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Orgánica Masachapa are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Ocotal hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Primera Division, while Deportivo Ocotal holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Ocotal

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Deportivo Ocotal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo OcotalLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Orgánica MasachapaLLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Deportivo OcotalOrgánica Masachapa
40.2Attack34.3
41.9Defence24.1
38.5Form24.1
42.2Power30.5
2.03xG1.05
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