GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

22.8%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronWWLWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San MiguelWLLDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MoronSan Miguel
53.6Attack24.6
68.1Defence66.7
59.4Form37.7
61.0Power45.2
1.22xG0.42
View match centre →