Deportivo Moronvs
San Miguel
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Moron are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
22.8%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60