GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/23/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Midland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Copa Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

34.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MidlandLDWDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronMidland
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.12xG1.11
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