Deportivo Moronvs
Godoy Cruz
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Moron 0-0 Godoy Cruz, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Moron 1-2 Godoy Cruz
Original prediction
Deportivo Moron
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.6% | 44.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.3% | 30.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 24.1% | 24.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Moron 0–0 Godoy Cruz
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60