Deportivo Moronvs
Defensores De Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Moron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
23.8%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60