GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Colon Santa FeWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronColon Santa Fe
54.2Attack42.7
69.4Defence74.7
61.1Form56.0
62.2Power58.6
0.90xG0.72
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