GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

19.2%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Chaco For EverLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronChaco For Ever
53.6Attack30.4
68.1Defence59.4
59.4Form31.9
61.0Power42.8
1.50xG0.51
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