Deportivo Moronvs
Atletico Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Moron 1-0 Atletico Mitre, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Moron 0-2 Atletico Mitre
Original prediction
Deportivo Moron
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.9% | 59.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 26.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.85 | 15.6% | 14.4% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Moron 1–0 Atletico Mitre
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80