Deportivo Moronvs
All Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Moron 0-0 All Boys, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Moron 2-1 All Boys
Original prediction
Deportivo Moron
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.5% | 52.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.9% | 31.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 19.6% | 15.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Moron 0–0 All Boys
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40