GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/11/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Metalurgico · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Metalurgico are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Provincial are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Deportivo Metalurgico holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Metalurgico

Probability

88.5%

Model confidence

88.5%

Deportivo Metalurgico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MetalurgicoWLWLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ProvincialDWLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoProvincial
57.6Attack23.3
78.8Defence26.7
75.8Form23.3
70.3Power26.7
3.02xG0.28
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