GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/25/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Metalurgico · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Metalurgico are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Deportivo Metalurgico holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Metalurgico

Probability

88.5%

Model confidence

88.5%

Deportivo Metalurgico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MetalurgicoLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ProvincialDWLLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoProvincial
57.6Attack23.3
78.8Defence26.7
75.8Form23.3
70.3Power26.7
3.02xG0.28
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