GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/8/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Metalurgico are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MetalurgicoLWLDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nautico HacoajDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoNautico Hacoaj
57.6Attack33.3
78.8Defence84.8
75.8Form54.5
70.3Power58.9
0.92xG0.42
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