GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/20/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Metalurgico are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MetalurgicoLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajDDDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoNautico Hacoaj
57.6Attack33.3
78.8Defence84.8
75.8Form54.5
70.3Power58.9
0.92xG0.42
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