GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/25/2024, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Metalurgico are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MetalurgicoWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella Del SurLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoEstrella Del Sur
57.6Attack51.9
78.8Defence76.5
75.8Form71.6
70.3Power67.7
0.90xG0.68
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