GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villa Dalmine · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Merlo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Villa Dalmine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Dalmine hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.9% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Villa Dalmine holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villa Dalmine

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

20.9%

Villa Dalmine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MerloLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Villa DalmineLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MerloVilla Dalmine
37.9Attack36.8
48.3Defence81.6
42.5Form59.8
45.2Power61.4
0.52xG1.10
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