GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 2/27/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Merlo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UAI Urquiza are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Merlo hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

28.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MerloWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UAI UrquizaDDDLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MerloUAI Urquiza
37.9Attack16.1
48.3Defence72.4
42.5Form31.0
45.2Power42.1
0.69xG0.62
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