Deportivo MerlovsSportivo Italiano

Deportivo Merlo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.