Deportivo MerlovsSan Martín Burzaco

Deportivo Merlo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Martín Burzaco are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Burzaco hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.