Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Deportivo Merlo

Deportivo Merlo

Home
W
32
Full time
Real Pilar

Real Pilar

Away
LWD
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Real Pilar(41%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Deportivo Merlo
Win probability
Deportivo Merlo
24%
Draw
35%
Real Pilar
41%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportivo Merlo
94
Real Pilar
61
Defence
Deportivo Merlo
27
Real Pilar
39
Momentum
Deportivo Merlo
100
Real Pilar
44
Danger (xG)
Deportivo Merlo
2.70
Real Pilar
1.50
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportivo Merlo)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Real Pilar)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Merlo)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Real Pilar)
1.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
WW
Real PilarReal Pilar
LWDL

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Deportivo Merlo24%
Draw35%
Real Pilar41%

Real Pilar leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Deportivo Merlo head into this in Primera B Metropolitana fixture at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium in mixed form (W), while Real Pilar arrive in mixed form (LWD). Deportivo Merlo have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 33% for Real Pilar over 3 games.

The model rates Deportivo Merlo's attack at 94/100 against a 39/100 Real Pilar defence, and Real Pilar's attack at 61/100 against a 27/100 Deportivo Merlo backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Deportivo Merlo have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Real Pilar have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Deportivo Merlo have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Real Pilar to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Deportivo Merlo 2385%, Draw 3500%, Real Pilar 4115%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Deportivo Merlo 1Draws 00 Real Pilar
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Deportivo Merlo
W32
Real Pilar

Recent form

Deportivo Merlo

Deportivo Merlo

W
vs Real Pilar
14 Jul 2026
32
W
vs Deportivo Armenio
16 May 2026
32
Real Pilar

Real Pilar

L
@ Deportivo Merlo
14 Jul 2026
23
W
vs Deportivo Camioneros
10 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Sportivo Italiano
5 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Excursionistas
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Real Pilar?

GoalVio's model predicts Real Pilar to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Merlo vs Real Pilar?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Merlo vs Real Pilar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Merlo vs Real Pilar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more