Deportivo MerlovsItuzaingó

Deportivo Merlo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ituzaingó are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Merlo hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Deportivo Merlo holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.