Deportivo Merlovs
Flandria
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Flandria, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Merlo 2-1 Flandria
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.4% | 34.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 32.9% | 32.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.8% | 32.9% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Flandria
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo MerloLDLLD
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FlandriaWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MerloFlandria
32.4Attack29.5
53.3Defence59.0
38.1Form36.2
43.6Power44.0
0.86xG0.76