Deportivo MerlovsExcursionistas

Deportivo Merlo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Excursionistas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.