Deportivo Merlovs
Dock Sud
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Dock Sud, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Merlo 1-2 Dock Sud
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.7% | 32.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.1% | 31.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.2% | 36.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Dock Sud
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo MerloDDLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dock SudDLWDD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MerloDock Sud
35.5Attack36.6
51.6Defence64.5
41.9Form39.8
45.3Power48.1
0.82xG0.98