Deportivo Merlovs
Defensores Unidos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Defensores Unidos, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Defensores Unidos
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.5% | 36.6% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 32.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.4% | 30.9% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Defensores Unidos
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80