Deportivo Merlovs
Brown DE Adrogue
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Brown DE Adrogue, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Brown DE Adrogue
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.2% | 35.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.59 | 34.6% | 35.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.2% | 29.0% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw 1.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Brown DE Adrogue
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60