GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Merlo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Argentino Quilmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Argentino Quilmes hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

21.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MerloDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Argentino QuilmesDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MerloArgentino Quilmes
37.9Attack28.7
48.3Defence67.8
42.5Form39.1
45.2Power47.2
0.79xG0.82
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