GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/24/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaldonadoDDWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza ECNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Deportivo MaldonadoFortaleza EC
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence70.8
16.7Form37.5
21.0Power46.6
0.79xG1.02
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