Deportivo MaldonadovsDefensor Sporting

Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.1% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.