Deportivo Maldonadovs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 5/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60