Deportivo Maldonadovs
Club Nacional
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
13.0%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20