Deportivo MaldonadovsBoston River

Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.2% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.