GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Maldonado

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

13.7%

Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaldonadoLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico TorqueWDWWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico Torque
55.1Attack50.0
65.2Defence59.1
60.9Form53.0
61.9Power55.5
1.47xG0.93
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