Deportivo Maldonadovs
Atletico Torque
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
13.7%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20