Deportivo Maipuvs
Temperley
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Maipu 0-0 Temperley, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Temperley
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.8% | 34.5% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.6% | 32.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 32.7% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Maipu 0–0 Temperley
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo MaipuDDDLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TemperleyWDWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MaipuTemperley
41.1Attack40.0
65.6Defence73.3
45.6Form58.9
52.0Power59.0
0.70xG0.78