Deportivo Maipuvs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maipu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Maipu 0-0 San Martin S.J., with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maipu 1-1 San Martin S.J.
Original prediction
Deportivo Maipu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 42.1% | 41.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.5% | 25.7% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Maipu 0–0 San Martin S.J.
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maipu
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Deportivo Maipu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20