GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Maipu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Midland are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

26.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaipuLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MidlandDWDLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MaipuMidland
43.1Attack36.2
63.9Defence76.8
44.4Form53.6
51.4Power57.5
0.64xG0.74
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