Deportivo Maipuvs
Gimnasia Jujuy
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maipu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy
Original prediction
Deportivo Maipu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.6% | 40.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.0% | 28.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.4% | 31.6% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maipu
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Deportivo Maipu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20