Deportivo Maipuvs
Club Atlético Güemes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maipu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Club Atlético Güemes, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Club Atlético Güemes
Original prediction
Deportivo Maipu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.6% | 69.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.38 | 16.9% | 21.5% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 12.27 | 7.4% | 9.1% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maipu
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Deportivo Maipu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60