Deportivo Madrynvs
San Telmo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Madryn · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Madryn 1-0 San Telmo, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Madryn 4-1 San Telmo
Original prediction
Deportivo Madryn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.7% | 58.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.9% | 27.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 7.46 | 12.3% | 13.7% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Madryn 1–0 San Telmo
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Madryn
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Deportivo Madryn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80