GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Madryn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Martin Tucuman are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Madryn hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MadrynWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin TucumanDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MadrynSan Martin Tucuman
44.4Attack32.0
66.7Defence70.7
51.4Form42.7
56.3Power50.2
0.87xG0.58
View match centre →